Monday, April 7, 2008

Susan Estrich is optimistic about our pessimism.


No, no… we’re not going to beat-up on her. Though, politically disagreeable we’ve seen her enough on the telly to sense that she is a pretty rational and sane observer of the body politic. Her article, (misplaced the link - will try to track down and post later), points to the “right direction/wrong direction” poll that was done recently as being good news for the eventual Democrat nominee. Said poll claims that 81% of us think the country is headed in the wrong direction.

Not ones to ever be accused of overthinking things, this poll question never seemed to make a whole lot of sense to us, though, as it appears much more nuanced and subjective to interpretation than what the pollsters intended, perhaps. As such, we don’t know how we’d answer that question were it ever posed to us. Our reasoning would be a rather complicated algorithm to which generating a binary answer might prove impossible.

But back to Susan: Estrich hangs her hat on the CW that with an overwhelming majority of the American public being in a funk over the national “direction”, this spells trouble for the incumbent party in power….in the Oval Office. While this may be true, one’s got to think that the extraordinary job Congress has been doing as evidenced by their approval ratings has to be factored into this equation as well. It would seem to us that both Clinton and Obama as Democratic members of a Democratically-controlled Congress should be perceived as part and parcel reasons for our country-wide bummer. While this logic may hold for Clinton, Obama’s awesomeness lifts him above the fray.

B-Daddy, a while back, strongly urged the Republican primary candidates to run against Congress rather than their prospective Democratic opponent precisely because of this reason. Unfortunately for John McCain though, because of his track record in the Senate, we are skeptical that that he will be able to decouple himself from the overall unpopularity of the Senate and House.

Afterall, our disgust with Congress may equal that of a liberal’s, though for very different reasons which makes divining the effects of these polls somewhat sketchy.

2 comments:

B-Daddy said...

Dean,
I still think that running against Congress is a viable strategy for McCain. First, the Democrats have ignored their promises on earmarks, McCain could easily introduce a bill with much fanfare. McCain gets to go before Clinton when his committee questions Gen. Petraeus, he can use this opportunity to use Obama's and Clinton's past statements on the surge and remind the public how wrong they were. He can also run against Democrat fiscal irresponsibility and failures on border control. Because the Republicans are in the minority and the Democrat Congress has done so little, it is a target rich environment.

BTW, you have overlooked an extremely important BwD anniversary today. I will have to pick up the cudgel if you do not.

Dean said...

B-homie, perhaps, but... Don't make political hay with the General P testimony. Let that dog lie. Its the right thing to do and his testimony will speak for itself.
Also, he can turn the fiscal irresponsibility trick but I'd stay away from border control for the time being. Perhaps later when the Arizona model of cracking down on employers gains some media traction, he might be able to capitalize but I don't think the time is right yet.

Cudgel away, bro... I'm at a loss as to this anniversary