Critical Mass?

Bold predictions sure to go wrong: Whatever and however things shake-out this next week in Denver, the Democratic candidate’s prospects will be much dimmer coming out of the convention than they are at this moment.

With Obama’s fall in the polls, Hillary’s supporters are ramping-up efforts to derail Obama’s campaign with an email campaign of their own. Things are rapidly approaching critical mass to where Hillary’s supporters, thinking they are that tantalizingly close to claiming the nomination and believing that she and not Obama can beat McCain, will revolt and sit out the election, or worse, vote for McCain should Obama retain the nomination.

On the other hand, think of the meltdown that will occur among the netroots, blacks and your standard party-line Democrats who just want some pax familia, if by some still-remote-yet-not-beyond-the-realm-of-possibility chance, Suit gets bumped as the nominee?

Either way, the nominee will emerge from the convention with party support that is less than unified if not fractured altogether. With things as tight as they are, it is highly doubtful that any nominee can win the general election if found in this particular circumstance.

We will be watching to see the events unfold next week (actually, we may not be able to but that’s a whole ‘nother matter) and monitor the fall-out particularly with respect to how the Republicans play it at their own convention early next month.